Rationally, this response is correct, of course. But, years ago I added a large gas tank (commercially produced by the manufacturer) to my Fresh Breeze Monster, took up a tandem student, and when we landed, we found that the muffler had melted a gaping 10 inch hole in this newly designed plastic tank. I once watched a gas tank get hit by a prop (on a well known commercially-produced machine) and cover my friend with a thick cloud of gasoline spray. I once watched a friend fall from 100’ up and get medevaced to the hospital - he survived miraculously. I’ve experienced some extreme accidents myself - one of which threatened my livelihood, required nearly a year of physical therapy, and stopped my normal life during that period. Most of the pilots I know, who’ve flown for a long time have experienced accidents which occurred due to a mix of human error, conditions, unique situations etc. I’ve really experienced quite a few myself.
Most of the dangers inherent in aviation can be dealt with reasonably and reduced to an acceptable level, especially with some experience. The dangers inherent with lipo are new to me, though, and I have no experience or knowledge of the statistics related to their fragility. My concern is that they can simply fail, even when taken care of properly - I just have no perspective about how likely that is. Gasoline in a tank doesn’t simply explode. I did read that there’s anywhere from a 1/100000 to a 1/ten million chance that any sort of perfectly healthy and well maintained lithium battery can randomly explode do to microscopic particles which can be introduced during the manufacturing process. Your chances of getting hit by lightning are 1 in 13000, so this is a comforting statistic, if it’s true.
I actually lost a lot of sleeping last night coping with my reaction to that video and the reality of a danger which was far more intense than I had understood. Before that video, I was ready to change the direction of my entire life to focus on OpenPPG. Now I’ve managed to work myself into a bit of terror about the prospect that the entire rig could explode in a fireball, unexpectedly at any moment, and without warning, if, for example, any of the batteries gets physically damaged without my knowledge.
I’ve always been willing to take calculated risks, but there’s an unknown here, about which I haven’t become educated enough yet. I’ve done everything I should: I bought storage packs and boxes for all my lipos, I bought the correct chargers, I’ve read every day for several weeks now to learn as much as possible about use and care of lipos, etc. But I’ve done all that with other systems in the past too, and still run into real jeopardy, and watched others run into hazards, because of unknown or misunderstood dangers. Right now, my alarms are all going off, and I need to learn more about documented cases of lipo failure, to ease my concerns.
I guess what I’m looking for is more research. Lipos have been around for many years, so I imagine the industry knows the risks (about well maintained batteries). If anyone has links to studies or more information which can put the potential for uncontrollable danger into perspective, I think that would be helpful for everyone.
At this point I’m not sure if I can cope with the potential for such a serious situation arising because of simple physical damage, in a sport which often involves heavy physical activity.
As I ramble here, I guess my main question comes down to how fragile lipo batteries are, and is there any viable option which is safer (less likely to fail catastrophically if subjected to a shock)? As I said, I’d rather fly half as long with twice the weight, if there is any option which is safer.